Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sun, 13 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC66%
- Stade Brestois 29 13%
- Draw 20%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 66%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 66.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Stade Brestois 29 won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Stade Brestois 29: WDLDD
Paris Saint-Germain FC: LDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Brestois 29 | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–3 |
| 2025-02-01 | Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 2–5 |
| 2024-09-14 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Stade Brestois 29 | 3–1 |
| 2024-01-28 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Brestois | 2–2 |
| 2023-10-29 | Stade Brestois vs Paris Saint-Germain | 2–3 |
| 2023-03-11 | Stade Brestois vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Brestois | 1–0 |
| 2022-01-15 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Brestois | 2–0 |
| 2021-08-20 | Stade Brestois vs Paris Saint-Germain | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.