Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Thu, 03 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lille OSC41%
- Toulouse FC 27%
- Draw 32%
- Lille OSC 41%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Toulouse FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Lille OSC's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Toulouse FC's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toulouse FC: LWWDD
Lille OSC: WLWLW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC | 0–4 |
| 2025-09-14 | Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Toulouse vs Lille OSC | 3–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Lille OSC vs Toulouse | 1–1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Toulouse vs Lille OSC | 0–2 |
| 2022-09-17 | Lille OSC vs Toulouse | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC?
- Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC kick off?
- Thu, 03 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.