Toulouse FCvs
Lille OSCToulouse FC 0-1 Lille OSC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Thu, 03 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lille OSC43%
- Toulouse FC 31%
- Draw 25%
- Lille OSC 43%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 43.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Toulouse FC won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Toulouse FC: LDLLL
Lille OSC: LWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 9Games
- 2.78Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC | 0–1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC | 0–4 |
| 2025-09-14 | Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Lille OSC vs Toulouse FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Toulouse vs Lille OSC | 3–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Lille OSC vs Toulouse | 1–1 |
| 2023-03-18 | Toulouse vs Lille OSC | 0–2 |
| 2022-09-17 | Lille OSC vs Toulouse | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC?
- Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC kick off?
- Thu, 03 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.78 goals per game.