Toulouse FC crestToulouse FCvsFC Lorient crestFC Lorient

Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Toulouse FC to win52%

1X2: model backs Toulouse FC at 52%.

Tofiko52% / 28% / 20%
  • Toulouse FC
  • Draw
  • FC Lorient

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Toulouse FC or draw80%
  • Draw or FC Lorient48%
  • Toulouse FC or FC Lorient72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Toulouse FC, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • FC Lorient, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Toulouse FC, rating it at 52.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 7 times, and Toulouse FC won 1 of 7, with 4 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 215 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Toulouse FC: DLWDL

FC Lorient: WLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 215 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 7Games
  • 2.43Avg goals
  • 71%Both scored
  • 43%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC2–2
2026-03-21Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient1–0
2025-11-09FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC1–1
2024-04-28FC Lorient vs Toulouse1–2
2023-12-03Toulouse vs FC Lorient1–1
2023-04-23FC Lorient vs Toulouse0–1
2022-08-21Toulouse vs FC Lorient2–2

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FAQ

Who will win Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient?
Tofiko's model favours Toulouse FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient kick off?
Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient head-to-head record?
In their last 7 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.43 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLorient 2-2 Toulouse12 Sept 2026 →