FC Lorientvs
Toulouse FCFC Lorient 2-2 Toulouse FC — Result, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 12 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Lorient41%
- FC Lorient 41%
- Draw 24%
- Toulouse FC 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Lorient, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and FC Lorient won none of them. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
FC Lorient: DWLDL
Toulouse FC: DLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 2.43Avg goals
- 71%Both scored
- 43%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC | 2–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Toulouse FC vs FC Lorient | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-09 | FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | FC Lorient vs Toulouse | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Toulouse vs FC Lorient | 1–1 |
| 2023-04-23 | FC Lorient vs Toulouse | 0–1 |
| 2022-08-21 | Toulouse vs FC Lorient | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Lorient (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.43 goals per game.