Atlanta United FCvs
FC DallasAtlanta United FC 1-1 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 05 Apr 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas41%
- Atlanta United FC 35%
- Draw 24%
- FC Dallas 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Dallas, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Atlanta United FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Atlanta United FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Atlanta United FC: WWLLD
FC Dallas: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | Atlanta United FC vs FC Dallas | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atlanta United FC vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Atlanta United FC vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sat, 05 Apr 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Atlanta United FC vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.