Charlotte FCvs
FC DallasCharlotte FC vs FC Dallas Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 10 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC50%
- Charlotte FC 50%
- Draw 23%
- FC Dallas 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 50.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Charlotte FC's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 29 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
FC Dallas: WWDLW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.