Atlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FCvsNew York City FC crestNew York City FC

Atlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atlanta United FC43%

Tofiko43% / 25% / 32%
Market37% / 26% / 37%
  • Atlanta United FC
  • Draw
  • New York City FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atlanta United FC, rating it at 43.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Atlanta United FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Atlanta United FC: DWDLD

New York City FC: DLWLD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-26Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC2–2
2025-06-12New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC4–0
2025-03-29Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC4–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
Tofiko's model favours Atlanta United FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC kick off?
Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNew York City FC vs Atlanta United FC28 Oct 2026 →