Orlando Cityvs
Columbus CrewOrlando City vs Columbus Crew Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 10 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City49%
- Orlando City 49%
- Draw 22%
- Columbus Crew 30%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 48.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Orlando City: WWLWD
Columbus Crew: WLDWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Columbus Crew vs Orlando City | 0–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Orlando City vs Columbus Crew | 1–1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Columbus Crew vs Orlando City | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs Columbus Crew?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs Columbus Crew kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.