Atlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FCvsOrlando City crestOrlando City

Atlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atlanta United FC39%

Tofiko39% / 23% / 38%
Market43% / 24% / 33%
  • Atlanta United FC
  • Draw
  • Orlando City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atlanta United FC, rating it at 38.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Atlanta United FC won 1 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Atlanta United FC's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 2 Oct 2026.

Atlanta United FC: DWDLD

Orlando City: LLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Oct 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-09Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City2–3
2026-05-19Orlando City vs Atlanta United FC4–1
2026-05-16Orlando City vs Atlanta United FC1–1
2025-05-28Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City3–2
2025-04-26Orlando City vs Atlanta United FC3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City?
Tofiko's model favours Atlanta United FC (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City kick off?
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legOrlando City SC 3-0 Atlanta United FC26 Apr 2025 →