Atlanta United FCvs
Orlando CityAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atlanta United FC39%
- Atlanta United FC 39%
- Draw 23%
- Orlando City 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atlanta United FC, rating it at 38.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and Atlanta United FC won 1 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Atlanta United FC: LDLWW
Orlando City: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 5Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-19 | Orlando City vs Atlanta United FC | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Orlando City vs Atlanta United FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-28 | Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City | 3–2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Orlando City vs Atlanta United FC | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Atlanta United FC (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.