Atlanta United FCvs
Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC 0-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 17 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union55%
- Atlanta United FC 22%
- Draw 23%
- Philadelphia Union 55%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Atlanta United FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Atlanta United FC: LDLWW
Philadelphia Union: WWWDD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Sat, 17 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.