FC Dallas vs Austin FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas55%
- FC Dallas 55%
- Draw 23%
- Austin FC 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 55.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Dallas won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 28 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Dallas: WWLWW
Austin FC: WLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 28 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Austin FC vs FC Dallas | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Dallas vs Austin FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Austin FC vs FC Dallas | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Austin FC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Austin FC kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.