Austin FCvs
Los Angeles FCAustin FC 1-0 Los Angeles FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 12 Oct 2025 23:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles FC46%
- Austin FC 28%
- Draw 25%
- Los Angeles FC 46%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Los Angeles FC, rating it at 46.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Austin FC won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Austin FC: DDWLD
Los Angeles FC: WDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-12 | Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Los Angeles FC vs Austin FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Sun, 12 Oct 2025 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Austin FC vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.