Austin FCvs
Los Angeles GalaxyAustin FC 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, H2H & Form
USA MLSSat, 11 Apr 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Austin FC47%
- Austin FC 47%
- Draw 25%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 27%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Austin FC, rating it at 47.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Austin FC won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Austin FC: DDWLD
Los Angeles Galaxy: LWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Austin FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–2 |
| 2025-07-17 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Austin FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Tofiko's model favours Austin FC (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Austin FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 18:30 GMT — USA MLS.
- What is the Austin FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.