Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 01:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union44%
- Austin FC
- Draw
- Philadelphia Union
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 43.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Austin FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Austin FC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Austin FC: DDWDD
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 01:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.