Austin FC crestAustin FCvsPhiladelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union

Austin FC 1-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 01:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Philadelphia Union44%

Tofiko32% / 24% / 44%
Market24% / 24% / 52%
  • Austin FC
  • Draw
  • Philadelphia Union

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 43.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Austin FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Austin FC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Austin FC: DDWDD

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
Sun, 23 Aug 2026 01:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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