Austin FCvs
Philadelphia UnionAustin FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union44%
- Austin FC 32%
- Draw 24%
- Philadelphia Union 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 43.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 22 Aug 2026.
Austin FC: WLDWW
Philadelphia Union: DWLWL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.