Austin FCvs
Saint Louis CityAustin FC 2-0 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 03 May 2026 21:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Austin FC48%
- Austin FC 48%
- Draw 25%
- Saint Louis City 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Austin FC, rating it at 48.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Austin FC won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Austin FC: DWLDW
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Saint Louis City vs Austin FC | 3–0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Austin FC vs Saint Louis City | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Austin FC vs Saint Louis City | 1–3 |
| 2025-03-30 | Saint Louis City vs Austin FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours Austin FC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Austin FC vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Sun, 03 May 2026 21:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Austin FC vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.