CF Montreal crestCF MontrealvsCharlotte FC crestCharlotte FC

CF Montreal 1-2 Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Charlotte FC43%

  • CF Montreal 32%
  • Draw 25%
  • Charlotte FC 43%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and CF Montreal won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

CF Montreal: LLDLD

Charlotte FC: WDWWD

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-09CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC1–2
2025-09-27Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal1–4
2025-04-12CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC?
Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC kick off?
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the CF Montreal vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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Reverse fixtureCharlotte vs CF Montreal28 Oct 2026 →