CF Montrealvs
D.C. UnitedCF Montreal 1-1 D.C. United — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CF Montreal46%
- CF Montreal 46%
- Draw 23%
- D.C. United 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick CF Montreal, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and CF Montreal won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
CF Montreal: DWDDL
D.C. United: LLDDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | CF Montreal vs D.C. United | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | D.C. United vs CF Montreal | 4–4 |
| 2025-08-16 | CF Montreal vs D.C. United | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | D.C. United vs CF Montreal | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours CF Montreal (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the CF Montreal vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 4 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.