CF Montrealvs
D.C. UnitedCF Montreal vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs CF Montreal49%
- CF Montreal 49%
- Draw 24%
- D.C. United 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick CF Montreal, rating it at 48.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and CF Montreal won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. D.C. United's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. CF Montreal's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
CF Montreal: LLDWW
D.C. United: WDDDL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | D.C. United vs CF Montreal | 4–4 |
| 2025-08-16 | CF Montreal vs D.C. United | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | D.C. United vs CF Montreal | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours CF Montreal (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the CF Montreal vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.