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CF Montreal crestCF MontrealvsLos Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles Galaxy

CF Montreal 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CF Montreal39%

  • CF Montreal 39%
  • Draw 23%
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks CF Montreal, rating it at 39.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and CF Montreal did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

CF Montreal: DWDDL

Los Angeles Galaxy: DWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Tofiko's model favours CF Montreal (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the CF Montreal vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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