Toronto FCvs
CF MontrealToronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 10 Oct 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toronto FC48%
- Toronto FC 48%
- Draw 25%
- CF Montreal 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Toronto FC, rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Toronto FC: WDWDL
CF Montreal: DWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | CF Montreal vs Toronto FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Toronto FC vs CF Montreal | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-17 | CF Montreal vs Toronto FC | 1–6 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.