CF Montreal crestCF MontrealvsToronto FC crestToronto FC

CF Montreal 0-0 Toronto FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 16 Jul 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CF Montreal41%

  • CF Montreal 41%
  • Draw 26%
  • Toronto FC 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks CF Montreal, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and CF Montreal won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

CF Montreal: LLDLD

Toronto FC: WDDWD

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-16CF Montreal vs Toronto FC0–0
2025-08-30Toronto FC vs CF Montreal1–1
2025-05-17CF Montreal vs Toronto FC1–6

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
Tofiko's model favours CF Montreal (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does CF Montreal vs Toronto FC kick off?
Thu, 16 Jul 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the CF Montreal vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureToronto FC vs CF Montreal10 Oct 2026 →