Charlotte FCvs
Atlanta United FCCharlotte FC 2-2 Atlanta United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 00:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC62%
- Charlotte FC 62%
- Draw 22%
- Atlanta United FC 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 61.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 5 times, and Charlotte FC won 3 of 5, with 1 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
Atlanta United FC: LDLWW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 5Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC | 0–2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United FC | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Charlotte FC(N) vs Atlanta United FC | 0–2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte FC | 2–3 |
| 2025-03-01 | Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United FC | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
- Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:15 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 5 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.