Charlotte FCvs
D.C. UnitedCharlotte FC 3-1 D.C. United — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC61%
- Charlotte FC 61%
- Draw 21%
- D.C. United 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 61.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Charlotte FC won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 10 Sep 2026.
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
D.C. United: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 10 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Charlotte FC vs D.C. United | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | D.C. United vs Charlotte FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-07-16 | Charlotte FC vs D.C. United | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.