Minnesota United FCvs
Houston DynamoMinnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC54%
- Minnesota United FC 54%
- Draw 24%
- Houston Dynamo 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Minnesota United FC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Minnesota United FC: DLDLL
Houston Dynamo: WDWWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-26 | Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-15 | Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.