Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC54%
- Minnesota United FC
- Draw
- Houston Dynamo
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 53.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Minnesota United FC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 8 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Minnesota United FC: LLLLL
Houston Dynamo: LDLWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 8 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-26 | Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-15 | Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.