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Charlotte FC crestCharlotte FCvsHouston Dynamo crestHouston Dynamo

Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Charlotte FC53%

  • Charlotte FC 53%
  • Draw 24%
  • Houston Dynamo 23%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 52.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

They arrive from very different football. Charlotte FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Charlotte FC: WDWLW

Houston Dynamo: WWWWW

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Charlotte FC vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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