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Charlotte FC crestCharlotte FCvsSan Diego FC crestSan Diego FC

Charlotte FC 3-0 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 19 Apr 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Charlotte FC41%

  • Charlotte FC 41%
  • Draw 24%
  • San Diego FC 35%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Charlotte FC, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Charlotte FC won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

Charlotte FC: WDWLW

San Diego FC: WLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-19Charlotte FC vs San Diego FC3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Charlotte FC vs San Diego FC?
Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Charlotte FC vs San Diego FC kick off?
Sat, 19 Apr 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Charlotte FC vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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