Charlotte FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesCharlotte FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 22 Mar 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC57%
- Charlotte FC 57%
- Draw 21%
- San Jose Earthquakes 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 57.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Charlotte FC won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Charlotte FC: WDWLW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | Charlotte FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sat, 22 Mar 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.