Philadelphia Unionvs
Chicago FirePhiladelphia Union 4-0 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 23 Aug 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union56%
- Philadelphia Union
- Draw
- Chicago Fire
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 55.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Philadelphia Union won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Chicago Fire's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Chicago Fire: WLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire | 4–0 |
| 2025-06-26 | Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 23 Aug 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.