Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 22:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire58%
- Chicago Fire 58%
- Draw 21%
- Portland Timbers 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 58.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chicago Fire: LLWWW
Portland Timbers: WDWLL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 22:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.