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Chicago Fire crestChicago FirevsPortland Timbers crestPortland Timbers

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 22:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chicago Fire58%

Chicago Fire 58%
Draw 21%
Portland Timbers 21%
  • Chicago Fire 58%
  • Draw 21%
  • Portland Timbers 21%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 58.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 21.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Chicago Fire: LLWWW

Portland Timbers: WDWLL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?
Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers kick off?
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 22:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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