Chicago Firevs
Portland TimbersChicago Fire 2-1 Portland Timbers — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 22:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire48%
- Chicago Fire 48%
- Draw 22%
- Portland Timbers 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 47.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Chicago Fire won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Portland Timbers: WLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.