Chicago Fire 2-1 Portland Timbers — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 22:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire48%
Tofiko48% / 22% / 30%
Market63% / 19% / 18%
- Chicago Fire
- Draw
- Portland Timbers
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 47.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Chicago Fire won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Chicago Fire: WLLDD
Portland Timbers: LLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.