Colorado Rapids crestColorado RapidsvsSan Diego FC crestSan Diego FC

Colorado Rapids 1-0 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 02:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs San Diego FC48%

  • Colorado Rapids 29%
  • Draw 23%
  • San Diego FC 48%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Colorado Rapids won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

Colorado Rapids: DLWLW

San Diego FC: LLWWL

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23San Diego FC vs Colorado Rapids3–0
2026-07-23Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC1–0
2025-05-15San Diego FC vs Colorado Rapids2–0
2025-04-13Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC3–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC?
Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC kick off?
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 02:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Colorado Rapids vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSan Diego 3-0 Colorado Rapids23 Aug 2026 →