Columbus Crewvs
San Jose EarthquakesColumbus Crew 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 26 Apr 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Columbus Crew55%
- Columbus Crew 55%
- Draw 21%
- San Jose Earthquakes 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Columbus Crew, rating it at 55.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Columbus Crew won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Columbus Crew: LLLDW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | Columbus Crew vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Columbus Crew vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Columbus Crew vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sat, 26 Apr 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Columbus Crew vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.