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D.C. United crestD.C. UnitedvsAustin FC crestAustin FC

D.C. United 2-4 Austin FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 26 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Austin FC41%

  • D.C. United 31%
  • Draw 28%
  • Austin FC 41%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Austin FC, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and D.C. United did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

D.C. United: LLDDW

Austin FC: DWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 6.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-26D.C. United vs Austin FC2–4

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FAQ

Who will win D.C. United vs Austin FC?
Tofiko's model favours Austin FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does D.C. United vs Austin FC kick off?
Sat, 26 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the D.C. United vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.

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