D.C. United crestD.C. UnitedvsChicago Fire crestChicago Fire

D.C. United 1-7 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 07 Jun 2025 23:40 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chicago Fire58%

Tofiko22% / 20% / 58%
Market38% / 26% / 35%
  • D.C. United
  • Draw
  • Chicago Fire

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 58.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 6 Oct 2026.

D.C. United: LDLDW

Chicago Fire: WLLDD

Head-to-head

As of 6 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 5.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-13D.C. United vs Chicago Fire1–3
2025-06-07D.C. United vs Chicago Fire1–7
2025-03-02Chicago Fire vs D.C. United2–2

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FAQ

Who will win D.C. United vs Chicago Fire?
Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does D.C. United vs Chicago Fire kick off?
Sat, 07 Jun 2025 23:40 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the D.C. United vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legChicago Fire 2-2 DC United2 Mar 2025 →