D.C. Unitedvs
Chicago FireD.C. United 1-7 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 07 Jun 2025 23:40 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire58%
- D.C. United 22%
- Draw 20%
- Chicago Fire 58%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 58.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
D.C. United: LLDDW
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 5.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | D.C. United vs Chicago Fire | 1–3 |
| 2025-06-07 | D.C. United vs Chicago Fire | 1–7 |
| 2025-03-02 | Chicago Fire vs D.C. United | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does D.C. United vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 07 Jun 2025 23:40 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the D.C. United vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.