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D.C. United crestD.C. UnitedvsColorado Rapids crestColorado Rapids

D.C. United 2-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 03 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Colorado Rapids41%

  • D.C. United 34%
  • Draw 25%
  • Colorado Rapids 41%
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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Colorado Rapids, rating it at 41.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and D.C. United won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. D.C. United's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Colorado Rapids's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

D.C. United: LLDDW

Colorado Rapids: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-03D.C. United vs Colorado Rapids2–1

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FAQ

Who will win D.C. United vs Colorado Rapids?
Tofiko's model favours Colorado Rapids (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does D.C. United vs Colorado Rapids kick off?
Sat, 03 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the D.C. United vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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