D.C. Unitedvs
Columbus CrewD.C. United vs Columbus Crew Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Columbus Crew46%
- D.C. United 30%
- Draw 23%
- Columbus Crew 46%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Columbus Crew, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. D.C. United's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Columbus Crew's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
D.C. United: WDDDL
Columbus Crew: WLDWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-20 | Columbus Crew vs D.C. United | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | D.C. United vs Columbus Crew | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
- Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs Columbus Crew kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.