D.C. United 2-1 Columbus Crew — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Columbus Crew47%
- D.C. United 32%
- Draw 22%
- Columbus Crew 47%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Columbus Crew, rating it at 46.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
D.C. United: WDLLD
Columbus Crew: LWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | D.C. United vs Columbus Crew | 2–1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Columbus Crew vs D.C. United | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-29 | D.C. United vs Columbus Crew | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
- Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs Columbus Crew kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.