D.C. United crestD.C. UnitedvsColumbus Crew crestColumbus Crew

D.C. United 2-1 Columbus Crew — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Columbus Crew47%

  • D.C. United 32%
  • Draw 22%
  • Columbus Crew 47%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Columbus Crew, rating it at 46.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

D.C. United: WDLLD

Columbus Crew: LWLLL

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-09D.C. United vs Columbus Crew2–1
2025-07-20Columbus Crew vs D.C. United2–1
2025-03-29D.C. United vs Columbus Crew1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does D.C. United vs Columbus Crew kick off?
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the D.C. United vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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Reverse fixtureColumbus Crew vs DC United31 Oct 2026 →