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FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnativsD.C. United crestD.C. United

FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati69%

  • FC Cincinnati 69%
  • Draw 19%
  • D.C. United 12%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 69.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Cincinnati won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 69.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Cincinnati: DWDLW

D.C. United: LLDDW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 13 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-31FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United1–2
2025-04-12D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati0–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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