FC Cincinnativs
D.C. UnitedFC Cincinnati vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati69%
- FC Cincinnati 69%
- Draw 19%
- D.C. United 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 69.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Cincinnati won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 69.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. D.C. United's 5 produced 19, at 3.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
D.C. United: WDDDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 | FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-12 | D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.