FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnativsD.C. United crestD.C. United

FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: void

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati68%

Tofiko68% / 19% / 13%
Market59% / 21% / 20%
  • FC Cincinnati
  • Draw
  • D.C. United

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 67.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Cincinnati won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. D.C. United's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 6 Oct 2026.

FC Cincinnati: LDDLL

D.C. United: LDLDW

Head-to-head

As of 6 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-31FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United1–2
2025-04-12D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati0–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureDC United vs FC Cincinnati24 Oct 2026 →