FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnativsD.C. United crestD.C. United

FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: void

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati68%

  • FC Cincinnati 68%
  • Draw 19%
  • D.C. United 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 67.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Cincinnati won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

FC Cincinnati: LLDWD

D.C. United: WDLLD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-31FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United1–2
2025-04-12D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati0–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureDC United vs FC Cincinnati24 Oct 2026 →