D.C. Unitedvs
Inter Miami CFD.C. United 1-1 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 23 Aug 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Miami CF66%
- D.C. United 17%
- Draw 17%
- Inter Miami CF 66%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Miami CF, rating it at 65.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Inter Miami CF's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. D.C. United's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 17.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
D.C. United: WDLLD
Inter Miami CF: DDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Inter Miami CF vs D.C. United | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-23 | D.C. United vs Inter Miami CF | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does D.C. United vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Sat, 23 Aug 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the D.C. United vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.