D.C. Unitedvs
Nashville SCD.C. United vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC53%
- D.C. United 25%
- Draw 22%
- Nashville SC 53%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 53.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. D.C. United's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Nashville SC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
D.C. United: WDDDL
Nashville SC: LWWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Nashville SC vs D.C. United | 2–2 |
| 2025-06-28 | D.C. United vs Nashville SC | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Nashville SC vs D.C. United | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does D.C. United vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.