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D.C. United crestD.C. UnitedvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

D.C. United 2-2 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC53%

  • D.C. United 25%
  • Draw 22%
  • Nashville SC 53%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 53.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

D.C. United: LLDDW

Nashville SC: WWWLW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-01D.C. United vs Nashville SC2–2
2026-05-10Nashville SC vs D.C. United2–2
2025-06-28D.C. United vs Nashville SC0–1
2025-05-18Nashville SC vs D.C. United0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win D.C. United vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does D.C. United vs Nashville SC kick off?
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the D.C. United vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

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