D.C. United 2-2 Nashville SC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC53%
- D.C. United 25%
- Draw 22%
- Nashville SC 53%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 53.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
D.C. United: LLDDW
Nashville SC: WWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | D.C. United vs Nashville SC | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Nashville SC vs D.C. United | 2–2 |
| 2025-06-28 | D.C. United vs Nashville SC | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Nashville SC vs D.C. United | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs Nashville SC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does D.C. United vs Nashville SC kick off?
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.