D.C. Unitedvs
New England RevolutionD.C. United vs New England Revolution Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New England Revolution40%
- D.C. United 34%
- Draw 25%
- New England Revolution 40%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New England Revolution, rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
D.C. United: WDDDL
New England Revolution: WDLWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | New England Revolution vs D.C. United | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | New England Revolution vs D.C. United | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-28 | D.C. United vs New England Revolution | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours New England Revolution (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.