D.C. Unitedvs
New England RevolutionD.C. United 0-3 New England Revolution — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs D.C. United46%
- D.C. United 46%
- Draw 23%
- New England Revolution 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick D.C. United, rating it at 46.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and D.C. United won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
D.C. United: LLDDW
New England Revolution: WLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | D.C. United vs New England Revolution | 0–3 |
| 2026-04-10 | New England Revolution vs D.C. United | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | New England Revolution vs D.C. United | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-28 | D.C. United vs New England Revolution | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours D.C. United (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does D.C. United vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.