FC Cincinnativs
FC DallasFC Cincinnati 3-3 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 28 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati56%
- FC Cincinnati 56%
- Draw 23%
- FC Dallas 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 55.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and FC Cincinnati did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. FC Cincinnati's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
FC Dallas: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 6.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-28 | FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas | 3–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Wed, 28 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.