FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnativsInter Miami CF crestInter Miami CF

FC Cincinnati 3-0 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 16 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati44%

  • FC Cincinnati 44%
  • Draw 22%
  • Inter Miami CF 34%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 43.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Cincinnati won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

FC Cincinnati: LLDWD

Inter Miami CF: DDWLD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-13FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami CF3–5
2025-07-26Inter Miami CF vs FC Cincinnati0–0
2025-07-16FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami CF3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami CF?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
Wed, 16 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureInter Miami vs FC Cincinnati28 Oct 2026 →