New England Revolution crestNew England RevolutionvsFC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati

New England Revolution 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 14 Jun 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati44%

  • New England Revolution 30%
  • Draw 26%
  • FC Cincinnati 44%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 44.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and New England Revolution won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 26.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

New England Revolution: WLWDW

FC Cincinnati: LLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-14New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati0–1
2025-04-05FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution1–0

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FAQ

Who will win New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
Sat, 14 Jun 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureFC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution14 Oct 2026 →