FC Cincinnativs
San Jose EarthquakesFC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati60%
- FC Cincinnati 60%
- Draw 19%
- San Jose Earthquakes 20%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 60.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. San Jose Earthquakes's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.