FC Cincinnativs
San Jose EarthquakesFC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 01:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati60%
- FC Cincinnati 60%
- Draw 19%
- San Jose Earthquakes 20%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 60.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and FC Cincinnati won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 6.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes | 4–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 01:45 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.00 goals per game.