FC Cincinnativs
Sporting Kansas CityFC Cincinnati 2-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 26 Apr 2025 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati67%
- FC Cincinnati 67%
- Draw 20%
- Sporting Kansas City 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 67.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and FC Cincinnati won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-26 | FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sat, 26 Apr 2025 18:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.