FC Dallasvs
Los Angeles GalaxyFC Dallas 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 04 Oct 2025 20:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas55%
- FC Dallas 55%
- Draw 22%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 55.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Dallas won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles Galaxy's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Los Angeles Galaxy: LWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas | 0–0 |
| 2026-04-17 | FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-12 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
- Sat, 04 Oct 2025 20:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.