Houston Dynamovs
D.C. UnitedHouston Dynamo vs D.C. United Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Houston Dynamo 1–1 D.C. United
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo55%
- Houston Dynamo 55%
- Draw 24%
- D.C. United 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 54.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Houston Dynamo won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo: WDWWD
D.C. United: WDDDL
Head-to-head
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Houston Dynamo vs D.C. United | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs D.C. United kick off?
- Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.