Houston Dynamovs
FC CincinnatiHouston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati43%
- Houston Dynamo 33%
- Draw 24%
- FC Cincinnati 43%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks FC Cincinnati, rating it at 43.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo: WDWWD
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.