Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo42%
- Houston Dynamo
- Draw
- FC Cincinnati
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 41.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Houston Dynamo did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Houston Dynamo: LDLWD
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.