Houston Dynamovs
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 21 Sep 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo42%
- Houston Dynamo 42%
- Draw 26%
- Portland Timbers 32%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 41.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Portland Timbers's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Portland Timbers: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 21 Sep 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.