Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 21 Sep 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo42%
Tofiko42% / 26% / 32%
- Houston Dynamo
- Draw
- Portland Timbers
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 41.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Portland Timbers's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 4 Oct 2026.
Houston Dynamo: LDLWD
Portland Timbers: LLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 21 Sep 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.