Houston Dynamo crestHouston DynamovsPortland Timbers crestPortland Timbers

Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 21 Sep 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Houston Dynamo42%

Tofiko42% / 26% / 32%
  • Houston Dynamo
  • Draw
  • Portland Timbers

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 41.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Portland Timbers's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 4 Oct 2026.

Houston Dynamo: LDLWD

Portland Timbers: LLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 4 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-09-21Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers1–0
2025-03-30Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo3–1

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FAQ

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?
Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers kick off?
Sun, 21 Sep 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixturePortland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo2 Nov 2026 →