Houston Dynamovs
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo52%
- Houston Dynamo 52%
- Draw 25%
- Real Salt Lake 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Houston Dynamo won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Real Salt Lake's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 5, at 1.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Houston Dynamo: DDLWW
Real Salt Lake: DLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo | 3–0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.