Houston Dynamovs
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo52%
- Houston Dynamo 52%
- Draw 25%
- Real Salt Lake 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Real Salt Lake: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo | 3–0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.