Inter Miami CF crestInter Miami CFvsOrlando City crestOrlando City

Inter Miami CF 0-3 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 18 May 2025 23:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Miami CF56%

  • Inter Miami CF 56%
  • Draw 19%
  • Orlando City 25%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Miami CF, rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Inter Miami CF won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

Inter Miami CF: DDWLD

Orlando City: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Inter Miami CF vs Orlando City3–4
2025-08-11Orlando City vs Inter Miami CF4–1
2025-05-18Inter Miami CF vs Orlando City0–3

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FAQ

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs Orlando City?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Inter Miami CF vs Orlando City kick off?
Sun, 18 May 2025 23:15 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Inter Miami CF vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legOrlando City SC 4-1 Inter Miami11 Aug 2025 →