Orlando Cityvs
Inter Miami CFOrlando City 4-1 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Mon, 11 Aug 2025 00:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City42%
- Orlando City 42%
- Draw 20%
- Inter Miami CF 38%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 41.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Orlando City: WLDDL
Inter Miami CF: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Inter Miami CF vs Orlando City | 3–4 |
| 2025-08-11 | Orlando City vs Inter Miami CF | 4–1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Inter Miami CF vs Orlando City | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Mon, 11 Aug 2025 00:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Orlando City vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.