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Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FCvsNew York Red Bulls crestNew York Red Bulls

Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles FC53%

  • Los Angeles FC 53%
  • Draw 23%
  • New York Red Bulls 24%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 53.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Los Angeles FC: LLDWD

New York Red Bulls: DLLWL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Los Angeles FC vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
Thu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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